Why this firm matters
Standard cohort firm (Completed). Included for breadth across destinations and sectors.
Vote outcome — reincorporation proposal
Vote totals not yet pulled. Awaiting EDGAR Item 5.07.
Visual evidence — event study around the announcement
event_study_announcement_json in the master database. Each panel is generated deterministically from the same data backing the cohort statistics — no firm-specific tuning, no cherry-picking.
perfirm_gallery.py) on every release; SHA-256 verified at deploy time. See also: Cohort-wide event study →. Event-study abnormal returns — announcement window
| Specification | Day-0 AR | Inference |
|---|---|---|
| Market model (SPY benchmark) HEADLINEi | -0.43% | Patell-z p-value = 0.892 |
Event-study abnormal returns — vote window
| Specification | Day-0 AR | Inference |
|---|---|---|
| Market model (SPY benchmark) HEADLINEi | -1.67% | Patell-z p-value = 0.502 |
Long-run abnormal returns & pooled estimates
Buy-and-hold abnormal returns (BHAR)
| Horizon & benchmark | BHAR | Inference |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month vs S&P 500 | +8.11% | Patell-z = +0.76 · p = 0.448 · n = 21 days |
| 1 month vs sector ETF (XLC) | +8.72% | Patell-z = +0.76 · p = 0.448 · n = 21 days |
| 3 months vs S&P 500 | +23.36% | Patell-z = +1.28 · p = 0.202 · n = 63 days |
| 3 months vs sector ETF (XLC) | +26.32% | Patell-z = +1.28 · p = 0.202 · n = 63 days |
| 6 months vs S&P 500 | +4.53% | Patell-z = +0.94 · p = 0.346 · n = 126 days |
| 6 months vs sector ETF (XLC) | +6.28% | Patell-z = +0.94 · p = 0.346 · n = 126 days |
| 12 months vs S&P 500 | -43.56% | Patell-z = +0.56 · p = 0.575 · n = 252 days |
| 12 months vs sector ETF (XLC) | -36.06% | Patell-z = +0.56 · p = 0.575 · n = 252 days |
Calendar-time portfolio alpha (CTE)
| Specification | Annualized alpha | Inference |
|---|---|---|
| Calendar-time portfolio alpha vs S&P 500 | -47.83%/yr | t = -1.29 · p = 0.195 · n = 252 days · Newey-West HAC SE (lag=5) |
| Calendar-time portfolio alpha vs sector ETF | -37.95%/yr | t = -0.91 · p = 0.361 · n = 252 days · Newey-West HAC SE (lag=5) |
Cohort-level robustness battery
Heckman two-step selection correction (controlled-vs-widely-held)
Cohort ATE = +0.94% (SE = 7.06%, n = 2395) after correcting for controller-status selection (inverse Mills ratio = -0.062).
Romano-Wolf step-down + Benjamini-Hochberg FDR (n = 47)
This firm: raw p = 0.892, Romano-Wolf adjusted p = 1.000, BH-FDR adjusted p = 0.966. Multiple-hypothesis correction is computed across the full cohort to control family-wise error rate at alpha = 0.05.
Pooled cohort BHAR (mover firms only)
BHAR_63d: mean = -5.60% (SE = 22.11%, n = 3, p = 0.499) · BHAR_126d: mean = +17.33% (SE = 41.17%, n = 3, p = 0.774)
See Cohort event study → for the full battery and forest plots.
Source filings
Classification & audit trail
Phase 3I 2026-04-27: added to dashboard_cohort_flag=1 (reviewer note: legal-setting benchmark / Maffei v. Palkon precedent).
Phase 3L 2026-04-27: Today_State=NV and TRANSACTION_STATUS=COMPLETED indicate TRIP completed DE->NV move, but NV_eff_dt is null. Reclassified bucket_class A->C, panel PANEL_E_DE_baseline->PANEL_A_post_SB29. CIK cleaned from '1123970; 0001526520' to '0001526520'. NV_eff_dt research needed (post-Maffei resolution date).
[2026-04-28] Phase 4J reviewer-converged correction: TRIP completed DE->NV reincorporation effective 2025-04-29 (post-Maffei resolution). Reclassified bucket_class C->B (pre-SB29 wave; SB29 effective 2025-09-01). TRIP defendant in Palkon v. Maffei (Del. Ch. 2024) precedent stays.
[2026-04-28] Phase 4I: replaced Google-search IR fallback with direct URL https://ir.tripadvisor.com/
[2026-04-28] Phase 4N: synthesized event_study_announcement_json from existing scalar CAR cells (phase4a_v2 join). Reviewer can extend with multi-spec analysis. [2026-04-28] phase5c: vote source 8-K 0000950170-25-088478 (2025-06-20, Δ=52d) applied from EDGAR pull (status=AUTO_RESOLVED) [2026-04-28] phase5c: vote source 8-K 0000950170-25-088478 (2025-06-20, Δ=52d) applied from EDGAR pull (status=AUTO_RESOLVED) [2026-04-29] phase5g: SET_FIELD announcement_date_iso: 'None' -> '2024-12-18' (reviewer: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1606745/000110465924129970/tm2431419d7_defa14a.htm) [2026-04-29] phase5g: SET_FIELD announcement_date_iso: '2024-12-18' -> '2024-12-18' (reviewer: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1606745/000110465924129970/tm2431419d7_defa14a.htm) [2026-04-29] phase5m: TRIP meeting_date_iso = 2025-04-24 (LTRPA special meeting at which LTRPA + LTRPB stockholders approved the Tripadvisor/Liberty TripAdvisor merger that effected TRIP's redomestication from DE to NV; merger consummated 2025-04-29); vote_mechanism=M&A_BUNDLED_REDOMICILE; source: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250424979153/en/Merger-of-Tripadvisor-and-Liberty-TripAdvisors-Special-Meeting-of-Stockholders + https://ir.tripadvisor.com/news-releases/news-release-details/tripadvisor-announces-closing-merger-liberty-tripadvisor-and [2026-04-29] phase5r: bucket 'B' -> 'A' (DE->NV effective 2025-04-29 < SB29 (2025-05-14) -> bucket A (pre-SB29)) [2026-04-29] phase5w: comprehensive validation by external reviewer across tranches v5 (4-version full residual walk, 269 substantive answers across 52 firms, 0 bucket drifts vs v3.58)
[2026-04-29] v3.75: VERIFIED via 8-K + DEF 14A — Cooley alert (March 18, 2024): VC Laster denied preliminary injunction; both TripAdvisor Inc. and Liberty TripAdvisor Holdings allowed to proceed with Nevada conversion (but stockholder fiduciary-duty damages claims survived). LTRPA special meeting April 24, 2025; merger + TRIP Nevada conversion both effective April 29, 2025. LTRPA shareholders received $0.2567/share cash (~$20M total). Post-merger: single class TRIP common. No controlling stockholder.
[2026-04-29] v3.84-rev1g EVENT-DATE CORRECTION: TRIP announcement_date_iso changed from 2024-12-18 → 2023-04-26. The 2024-12-18 date was the LTRP→TRIP merger-agreement signing day per Capital IQ deal record IQTR1914916964 — that's an M&A acquisition of TRIP's controlling shareholder (LTRP held 56.8% TRIP voting power), not a reincorporation announcement. TRIP's actual DE→NV redomestication was disclosed in DEF 14A filed 2023-04-26 ahead of the June 6, 2023 annual meeting vote. The redomestication took legal effect April 29, 2025 (concurrent with the merger close, per TRIP press release dated 2025-04-29: 'Tripadvisor finalized its redomestication by conversion from the State of Delaware to the State of Nevada, as approved by Tripadvisor stockholders in June 2023.'). Day-0 AR recomputed at corrected T0=2023-04-26 with full 240-day pre-event window from cohort_daily_closes.csv.
v3.84-rev5c [2026-04-30] promoted to HIGH date_quality_flag per v3.84-rev1g EDGAR-verified primary-source date correction (June 2023 PRE 14A, not Dec 2024 LTRPA-merger date); primary-source EDGAR confirmation.
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